Sibanye Gold Ltd Stock Performance

SBSW Stock  USD 17.23  1.20  7.49%   
On a scale of 0 to 100, Sibanye Gold holds a performance score of 14. The entity has a beta of 1.83, which indicates a somewhat significant risk relative to the market. As the market goes up, the company is expected to outperform it. However, if the market returns are negative, Sibanye Gold will likely underperform. Please check Sibanye Gold's downside variance, and the relationship between the total risk alpha and daily balance of power , to make a quick decision on whether Sibanye Gold's existing price patterns will revert.

Risk-Adjusted Performance

Good

 
Weak
 
Strong
Compared to the overall equity markets, risk-adjusted returns on investments in Sibanye Gold Ltd are ranked lower than 14 (%) of all global equities and portfolios over the last 90 days. In spite of fairly weak basic indicators, Sibanye Gold showed solid returns over the last few months and may actually be approaching a breakup point. ...more

Actual Historical Performance (%)

One Day Return
7.49
Five Day Return
5.06
Year To Date Return
19.16
Ten Year Return
54.39
All Time Return
181.08
Last Split Factor
102:100
Dividend Date
2023-10-06
Ex Dividend Date
2023-09-21
Last Split Date
2017-10-05
1
Sibanye Gold Limited SBSW Stock Holdings Increased by Savant Capital LLC - MarketBeat
11/18/2025
2
JPMorgan Chase Co. Has 46.25 Million Stock Holdings in Sibanye Gold Limited SBSW
12/01/2025
3
Panagora Asset Management Inc. Purchases New Holdings in Sibanye Gold Limited SBSW - MarketBeat
12/04/2025
4
Sibanye Stillwater Builds Momentum as Debt Declines and Palladium Outlook Improves
12/17/2025
5
Sibanye Gold Limited Sees Large Growth in Short Interest
12/31/2025
6
What Makes Sibanye Gold Limited a Strong Momentum Stock Buy Now
01/14/2026
7
Sibanye Gold Limited is a Great Momentum Stock Should You Buy
01/30/2026
8
BMO Capital Markets Forecasts Strong Price Appreciation for Sibanye Gold Stock
02/03/2026
Begin Period Cash Flow25.6 B
Total Cashflows From Investing Activities-24.3 B

Sibanye Gold Relative Risk vs. Return Landscape

If you would invest  1,100  in Sibanye Gold Ltd on November 18, 2025 and sell it today you would earn a total of  623.00  from holding Sibanye Gold Ltd or generate 56.64% return on investment over 90 days. Sibanye Gold Ltd is currently generating 0.8455% in daily expected returns and assumes 4.6056% risk (volatility on return distribution) over the 90 days horizon. In different words, 41% of stocks are less volatile than Sibanye, and 83% of all traded equity instruments are projected to make higher returns than the company over the 90 days investment horizon.
  Expected Return   
       Risk  
Given the investment horizon of 90 days Sibanye Gold is expected to generate 6.1 times more return on investment than the market. However, the company is 6.1 times more volatile than its market benchmark. It trades about 0.18 of its potential returns per unit of risk. The Dow Jones Industrial is currently generating roughly 0.16 per unit of risk.

Sibanye Gold Target Price Odds to finish over Current Price

The tendency of Sibanye Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move above the current price in 90 days
 17.23 90 days 17.23 
about 17.9
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Sibanye Gold to move above the current price in 90 days from now is about 17.9 (This Sibanye Gold Ltd probability density function shows the probability of Sibanye Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Given the investment horizon of 90 days the stock has the beta coefficient of 1.83 . This usually implies as the benchmark fluctuates upward, the company is expected to outperform it on average. However, if the benchmark returns are projected to be negative, Sibanye Gold will likely underperform. Additionally Sibanye Gold Ltd has an alpha of 0.6132, implying that it can generate a 0.61 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Sibanye Gold Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Sibanye Gold

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Sibanye Gold. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Sibanye Gold's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
12.8217.4322.04
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
13.3817.9922.60
Details
3 Analysts
Consensus
LowTargetHigh
17.5619.2921.41
Details
Earnings
Estimates (0)
LowProjected EPSHigh
3.830.033.83
Details

Sibanye Gold Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Sibanye Gold is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Sibanye Gold's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Sibanye Gold Ltd, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Sibanye Gold within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.61
β
Beta against Dow Jones1.83
σ
Overall volatility
2.60
Ir
Information ratio 0.15

Sibanye Gold Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Sibanye Gold for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Sibanye Gold can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Sibanye Gold appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues
The company reported the previous year's revenue of 112.13 B. Net Loss for the year was (7.3 B) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 16.27 B.
Sibanye Gold has a poor financial position based on the latest SEC disclosures
Latest headline from thelincolnianonline.com: BMO Capital Markets Forecasts Strong Price Appreciation for Sibanye Gold Stock

Sibanye Gold Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Sibanye Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Sibanye Gold's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Sibanye Gold's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding707.6 M
Cash And Short Term Investments16 B

Sibanye Gold Fundamentals Growth

Sibanye Stock prices reflect investors' perceptions of the future prospects and financial health of Sibanye Gold, and Sibanye Gold fundamentals are critical determinants of its market performance. Overall, investors pay close attention to revenue and earnings growth, profit margins, and debt levels. These fundamentals can have a significant impact on Sibanye Stock performance.

About Sibanye Gold Performance

Evaluating Sibanye Gold's performance through its fundamental ratios, provides valuable insights into its operational efficiency and profitability. For instance, if Sibanye Gold has a high ROA and ROE, it suggests that the company is efficiently using its assets and equity to generate substantial profits, making it an attractive investment. Conversely, if Sibanye Gold has a low ROA and ROE, it may indicate underlying issues in asset and equity management, signaling a need for operational improvements. Please also refer to our technical analysis and fundamental analysis pages.
Last ReportedProjected for Next Year
Days Of Inventory On Hand 79.31  83.27 
Return On Tangible Assets(0.06)(0.06)
Return On Capital Employed 0.02  0.02 
Return On Assets(0.06)(0.06)
Return On Equity(0.15)(0.14)

Things to note about Sibanye Gold performance evaluation

Checking the ongoing alerts about Sibanye Gold for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Stock alerts and notifications screener for Sibanye Gold help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Sibanye Gold appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues
The company reported the previous year's revenue of 112.13 B. Net Loss for the year was (7.3 B) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 16.27 B.
Sibanye Gold has a poor financial position based on the latest SEC disclosures
Latest headline from thelincolnianonline.com: BMO Capital Markets Forecasts Strong Price Appreciation for Sibanye Gold Stock
Evaluating Sibanye Gold's performance can involve analyzing a variety of financial metrics and factors. Some of the key considerations to evaluate Sibanye Gold's stock performance include:
  • Analyzing Sibanye Gold's financial statements, including its income statement, balance sheet, and cash flow statement, helps in understanding its overall financial health and growth potential.
  • Getting a closer look at valuation ratios like price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio, price-to-sales (P/S) ratio, and price-to-book (P/B) ratio help in understanding whether Sibanye Gold's stock is overvalued or undervalued compared to its peers.
  • Examining Sibanye Gold's industry or sector and how it is performing can give you an idea of its growth potential and how it is positioned relative to its competitors.
  • Evaluating Sibanye Gold's management team can have a significant impact on its success or failure. Reviewing the track record and experience of Sibanye Gold's management team can help you assess the Company's leadership.
  • Pay attention to analyst opinions and ratings of Sibanye Gold's stock. These opinions can provide insight into Sibanye Gold's potential for growth and whether the stock is currently undervalued or overvalued.
It's essential to remember that evaluating Sibanye Gold's stock performance is not an exact science, and many factors can impact Sibanye Gold's stock market price. Therefore, it's also important to diversify your portfolio and not rely solely on one company or stock for your investments.

Additional Tools for Sibanye Stock Analysis

When running Sibanye Gold's price analysis, check to measure Sibanye Gold's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Sibanye Gold is operating at the current time. Most of Sibanye Gold's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Sibanye Gold's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Sibanye Gold's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Sibanye Gold to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.